Jay Cost
Posted on May 6, 2008
Filed Under Política
Jay Cost e doutorando em Ciencias Politicas na Universidade de Chicago. Nos ultimos meses, tem escrito alguns dos mais interessantes artigos sobre a dinamica demografica das eleicoes primarias norte-americanas, principalmente no campo Democrata. Este artigo — “Reflections on the Democratic Race” — e, na minha opiniao, o mais importante e acutilante de todos. Um excerto:
«I think his [Obama’s] foresight to organize the caucus states has served him doubly well. Not only has it given him a large delegate lead compared to a modest popular vote lead – it has served as protection against political peril. My sense is that with Ohio, Pennsylvania, and then Wright – superdelegates would be flocking to Clinton if it were not for his caucus victories».
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